Sunday, November 23, 2014 - 1:35 PM

Iowa Forecast Discussion November 9th 2012

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NOTE: No Videos through Monday due to travel.

IN ST LOUIS: In the Gateway city overnight as I type this where temperatures here have warmed up into the 50s to near 60 for highs. The same goes for Iowa as well yesterday and continuing into today. Temperatures will be in the upper 50s to near 70 degrees across the state today and tomorrow before the storm moves in with some shower and thunderstorm activity.

WEEKEND EVENT: The main window for precipitation looks to be between 6pm Saturday evening and 6am Monday morning across the state. Some of the showers and storms could be strong to perhaps severe with the main threats being from large hail and damaging straight line winds. The Storm Prediction Center has a slight risk of severe weather for Saturday afternoon and evening across the western and southwestern counties of the state. Any changes will be posted as needed as I travel on Friday. Precipitation amounts still look to be around an inch in most places with some isolated heavier totals in some areas. There is a slight but growing chance that some of the much colder air will filter into the state as the precipitation is ending. This could mean some of the rain could mix with and change to some wet snow or sleet late Sunday night or early Monday morning. We’ll keep tabs on that to see if this changes for better or worse.

NEXT STORM: Highs back into the 30s and 40s for highs rebound nicely back to near seasonal levels at midweek ahead of another storm system next Friday into the following weekend. Right now it looks as if most of the precipitation with this system will be in the form of rain. We’ll watch that as well.

TURKEY AND DEALS: Thanksgiving and Black Friday according to the 00z GFS Model Run look a bit disturbed but nothing to write home about. Temperatures will be modest for late November but Friday morning could be chilly with possible teens and 20s at that time. We’ve seen everything out in this time frame so there’s no definite trend as yet.

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About Author

Jeff Wilcox serves as the Senior Forecaster at the Iowa Weather Network with primary focuses in long term weather operations and climatology. Weather has always fascinated me since I was young. My first memory of weather was back in 1988 during the Mother’s Day Tornado Outbreak in 1988. I can vaguely remember the cold snap the state experienced around Christmas Time in 1983, but was too young to remember that vividly. Growing up in Anamosa since moving there in 1981, I’ve experienced all the weather imaginable from bitter cold in early 1996 to hot and humid weather in 1995 and again in 2012, to floods in 1993, 1999, 2008 and 2013, Droughts in 1988 and 2012. After doing some other website work and other interests which included publishing a novel in 2007, I finally began the Iowa Weather Blog on June 27th 2008, right after the Flood of 2008. I worked it alone for hours on end giving out weather information that I thought was appropriate for those that wanted to know what was going on in their skies and what was to come. I continue to work on the blog along with the Iowa Weather Network which was created back in 2012 and continue to do so to this day.